Bitcoin weekly RSI shows bullish divergence, echoing 2022 pattern

Bitcoin (BTC) price action after reaching $80,000 is generating mixed signals as traders assess whether the recent 25% rebound signals a lasting trend reversal.

Weekly RSI bullish divergence

The weekly RSI climbed to 58.3, its highest level since the October 2025 peak of $126,200. This creates a bullish divergence – higher RSI lows while BTC/USD makes lower lows – a pattern that preceded the end of the 2022 bear market.

Daily overbought reading

On the daily chart, RSI reached 82.93, the strongest overbought reading since November 2024. Analysts are divided: some view it as a warning of a possible pullback, while others note that Bitcoin uptrends have historically persisted through multiple overbought periods.

Stochastic RSI crossover

The two‑month stochastic RSI produced a crossover, a signal often linked to bullish momentum. However, the indicator stopped at 4.81, avoiding the near‑zero lows that accompanied previous crossovers.

Analyst perspectives

Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at Real Vision, emphasized the importance of weekly signals for identifying secular trends and cycle inflection points. Jonatan Randin of PrimeXBT highlighted the rapid rise of daily RSI from 40 to 90 in late 2022 and suggested the current move may indicate a new phase in the cycle, though not necessarily the end of the bear market.