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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Dollar Recovery vs 1.1711 Reversal Risk
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#Shorts EUR/USD price forecast for Tuesday 25/08/2026: the euro is correcting further as the US dollar extends its recovery, with spot slipping from a four-day high of 1.1711 to around 1.1655 in European trading. In this video, a senior analyst breaks down why the euro failed to hold above 1.1695 resistance and what that rejection signals for short-term direction. You will learn the exact technical levels to watch, the surprising US services PMI that shifted momentum, and how the upcoming PCE inflation data and Jackson Hole Symposium could reshape the Federal Reserve rate outlook. The video also covers the US Treasury bond buyback decision, eurozone inflation at 2.9 percent, and why UBS has raised its long-term EUR/USD target from 1.17 to 1.20. The move follows three consecutive sessions of declines after the pair failed to consolidate above 1.1695. Despite the pullback, EUR/USD is…
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Analysis last updated August 25, 2026 · Read the methodologyRead the creator’s original video description
#Shorts EUR/USD price forecast for Tuesday 25/08/2026: the euro is correcting further as the US dollar extends its recovery, with spot slipping from a four-day high of 1.1711 to around 1.1655 in European trading. In this video, a senior analyst breaks down why the euro failed to hold above 1.1695 resistance and what that rejection signals for short-term direction. You will learn the exact technical levels to watch, the surprising US services PMI that shifted momentum, and how the upcoming PCE inflation data and Jackson Hole Symposium could reshape the Federal Reserve rate outlook. The video also covers the US Treasury bond buyback decision, eurozone inflation at 2.9 percent, and why UBS has raised its long-term EUR/USD target from 1.17 to 1.20. The move follows three consecutive sessions of declines after the pair failed to consolidate above 1.1695. Despite the pullback, EUR/USD is still up 2.76 percent over the past 30 days and 1.15 percent in August, but it remains about half a percent lower than where it started 2026 near 1.1733. The market is trapped between 1.1359 and 1.1740, and today's price action sits near the top of that range. • Why the EUR/USD failed at 1.1695 and the risk of a double top near 1.1711 • The US dollar index near 99.07 and the impact of the US services PMI at 56.8 • Market odds: 38.9 percent probability of a Fed rate hike in September • Eurozone inflation at 2.9 percent and Nomura's expectation of an ECB September hike • Key three-month range from 1.1359 to 1.1740 and what it means for traders • UBS target upgrade to 1.20 and Scotiabank's warning about moderate dollar gains Watch until the end to see whether this correction is a buying opportunity or the start of a larger drop, and