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Gold Takes a Breather After 3-Month High: PCE Shock Next?

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Gold takes a breather after climbing to a fresh three-month high, with US PCE inflation and a key Federal Reserve speech now in focus. In this video, I analyse why spot gold pulled back to around $4,630 per ounce on Tuesday 25 August 2026, after reaching $4,645.74 on 24 August, and what the next catalysts could mean for traders and investors. The session is not just a quiet retracement: it is a live test of whether this rally can survive overbought technicals, stubborn inflation expectations, and a Federal Reserve that may not be as dovish as the market hopes. You will learn how the weaker US dollar and the US Treasury's doubled long-dated buyback programme helped drive last week's gain of more than 5%, why global gold ETF inflows of $3.52 billion, or 23.6 tonnes, reveal strong institutional appetite, and what the rising gold/silver ratio says about the type of buyer now leading the…

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Analysis last updated August 25, 2026 · Read the methodology
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Gold takes a breather after climbing to a fresh three-month high, with US PCE inflation and a key Federal Reserve speech now in focus. In this video, I analyse why spot gold pulled back to around $4,630 per ounce on Tuesday 25 August 2026, after reaching $4,645.74 on 24 August, and what the next catalysts could mean for traders and investors. The session is not just a quiet retracement: it is a live test of whether this rally can survive overbought technicals, stubborn inflation expectations, and a Federal Reserve that may not be as dovish as the market hopes. You will learn how the weaker US dollar and the US Treasury's doubled long-dated buyback programme helped drive last week's gain of more than 5%, why global gold ETF inflows of $3.52 billion, or 23.6 tonnes, reveal strong institutional appetite, and what the rising gold/silver ratio says about the type of buyer now leading the market. I also explain the exact PCE report and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speech triggers to watch, and the key support and resistance levels that could define the next few sessions. • Why gold hit a fresh three-month high near $4,645 and then stalled on 25 August 2026 • The role of the US PCE inflation print and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech in the next move • How the US Treasury doubled its buyback of longer-dated debt and weakened the dollar • What $3.52 billion in weekly gold ETF inflows tells us about institutional positioning • The gold/silver ratio near 67.5 and why it signals a monetary bid, not industrial demand • The overbought RSI reading and fading MACD momentum that point to a possible downside reversal Watch until the end to see the exact price levels I am monitoring and whether this is a healthy pause or the start of a deeper correction. If you find this valuable, please