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Silver Price Forecast: 18% Surge vs $70 Rejection Before PCE
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#Shorts Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD corrects below $68 in countdown to US PCE Inflation data. In this Tuesday 25 August 2026 update, we explain why silver rejected the $70 level despite an 18% monthly surge, and what Wednesday's US PCE inflation release means for the next move. At the time of writing, XAG/USD is trading near $68.20, down from an intraday high of $69.94. Silver has gained more than 18% in the past month, but the failure to hold above $70 has pushed it back below its 100-day simple moving average, a sign that short-term momentum is fading. You will learn the exact support and resistance levels driving XAG/USD, including the 100-day simple moving average at $68.42 and the $69.94 intraday rejection point. We also cover the US Treasury's pledge to more than double longer-dated bond buybacks to over $4 billion, and how that revived the debasement trade in precious metals…
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Analysis last updated August 25, 2026 · Read the methodologyRead the creator’s original video description
#Shorts Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD corrects below $68 in countdown to US PCE Inflation data. In this Tuesday 25 August 2026 update, we explain why silver rejected the $70 level despite an 18% monthly surge, and what Wednesday's US PCE inflation release means for the next move. At the time of writing, XAG/USD is trading near $68.20, down from an intraday high of $69.94. Silver has gained more than 18% in the past month, but the failure to hold above $70 has pushed it back below its 100-day simple moving average, a sign that short-term momentum is fading. You will learn the exact support and resistance levels driving XAG/USD, including the 100-day simple moving average at $68.42 and the $69.94 intraday rejection point. We also cover the US Treasury's pledge to more than double longer-dated bond buybacks to over $4 billion, and how that revived the debasement trade in precious metals. We examine J.P. Morgan's revised 2026 forecast and why silver's physical deficit may not be enough to prevent a near-term correction. Key topics covered: • Why XAG/USD failed to hold above $70 on 25/08/2026 despite touching $69.94 • The $68.42 100-day simple moving average and the daily RSI below 50 • How over $4 billion in US Treasury bond buybacks is weakening the dollar • Why the US PCE inflation report on Wednesday 26/08/2026 is a binary event for silver • J.P. Morgan's silver forecast: $70 average for 2026 but $63 in Q4 2026 • The gold-silver ratio at 67.5 and why gold is leading the rally • The risk from solar panel silver thrifting cutting demand by 60 million ounces Watch until the end for the specific levels to monitor before the PCE data and a clear near-term trading scenario. Whether you are a short term trader or a longer term investor, the next 24 hours matter because the PCE release is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. A surprise in either direction could quickly reprice rate expectations and the US dollar. This update is useful for anyone searching silver price forecast, XAG/USD analysis, US PCE inflation impact, precious metals forecast, gold silver ratio, US dollar weakness, Treasury bond buybacks, silver support and resistance, and silver technical analysis. ▶️ Full video: Chapters: 00:00 The $70 Ceiling Rejects an 18% Surge 00:42 What Changed Over the Past Week 01:34 Current Impact: Why the Correction Is Healthy 02:28 Outlook: Structural Deficit vs Short-Term Rates 03:20 Conclusion: Watch These Levels #Shorts #SilverPriceForecast #XagUsd #UsPceInflation #SilverAnalysis #PreciousMetals #SilverTechnicalAnalysis #GoldSilverRatio #UsDollarWeakness #TreasuryBondBuybacks