Close Menu
Cryprovideos
    What's Hot

    These Were Biggest Crypto Hacks of August – U.Today

    September 1, 2025

    Dogecoin (DOGE) Assessments $0.21 Assist as Cup-and-Deal with Sample Targets $0.30

    September 1, 2025

    Can Dogecoin And Shiba Inu Costs Recuperate? What To Anticipate In September | Bitcoinist.com

    September 1, 2025
    Facebook X (Twitter) Instagram
    Cryprovideos
    • Home
    • Crypto News
    • Bitcoin
    • Altcoins
    • Markets
    Cryprovideos
    Home»Markets»World’s Largest Prediction Market Polymarket Is Trump Biased
    World’s Largest Prediction Market Polymarket Is Trump Biased
    Markets

    World’s Largest Prediction Market Polymarket Is Trump Biased

    By Vivek SenNovember 10, 2024No Comments2 Mins Read
    Share
    Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Pinterest Email


    World’s Largest Prediction Market Polymarket Is Trump Biased

    Seeing Bitcoin’s worth rally as Donald Trump takes the lead on the world’s largest prediction market, Polymarket, made me do a little analysis on what Polymarket is and who makes use of it.

    And now I’ve to say — I consider that Polymarket leans pro-Trump. We have to account for that bias, and right here’s why.

    Let’s take a look at some knowledge. Polymarket exhibits Trump surging to an enormous 28% lead over Harris. One other prediction market, Kalshi, additionally exhibits Trump main by 18%. In the meantime, most different polls have a decent race. This large skew is mindless – until Polymarket’s consumer base is disproportionately pro-Trump.

    JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Professional-#Bitcoin Donald Trump takes the largest lead within the election thus far, up by 28.8% within the odds: Polymarket pic.twitter.com/0m1FOG2pNL

    — Bitcoin Journal (@BitcoinMagazine) October 22, 2024

    Which it’s. Polymarket solely permits crypto betting and blocks US customers. This filters its viewers towards offshore Bitcoin and crypto lovers or US crypto customers who use VPNs, and research present that crypto customers are likely to lean conservative.

    And with Trump pledging to Implement crypto-friendly insurance policies, he’s a no brainer for Bitcoin and crypto customers.

    Some add that Trump’s bets are a part of “a coordinated effort to vary the notion of this race.”

    This may occasionally even be the case, nevertheless it ought to be clear that Polymarket polls are biased.

    Does this make Polymarket corrupt? I do not assume so. It provides insightful predictive knowledge and it is a free market platform the place anybody can bid in the event that they assume in any other case. Which makes it among the finest instruments to know the market sentiment.

    However something exhibiting Trump or Harris with a large lead at this level within the election ought to warrant scepticism. Merchants can recognise and exploit this bias. I would look to purchase Harris, anticipating the race tightening as election day nears. Polymarket odds ought to normalise nearer to even odds.

    In abstract, Polymarket caters to Trump-friendly Bitcoin and crypto crowds, which distorts its election odds considerably in comparison with different polls. Figuring out this, some individuals can capitalise accordingly.

    This text is a Take. Opinions expressed are completely the writer’s and don’t essentially mirror these of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Journal.





    Supply hyperlink

    Share. Facebook Twitter Pinterest LinkedIn Tumblr Email

    Related Posts

    Dogecoin (DOGE) Assessments $0.21 Assist as Cup-and-Deal with Sample Targets $0.30

    September 1, 2025

    Can Dogecoin And Shiba Inu Costs Recuperate? What To Anticipate In September | Bitcoinist.com

    September 1, 2025

    Sonic Labs will get greenlight for its $200M TradFi transfer

    September 1, 2025

    Does digital ID have dangers even when it’s ZK-wrapped?

    September 1, 2025
    Latest Posts

    Bitcoin (BTC) Worth Information: Dangers Sliding to $100K as 'Purple September' Begins

    September 1, 2025

    Metaplanet Surpasses 20,000 BTC With $112M Bitcoin Buy – Bitbo

    September 1, 2025

    FT: Bitcoin Millionaires Splurging on Luxurious Journey – U.Right this moment

    September 1, 2025

    BTC whale now holds $3.8B in ETH, analysts name it maturity

    September 1, 2025

    Silver Overtakes Bitcoin by Market Cap – U.Right this moment

    September 1, 2025

    Bitcoin vs Shares: Why AI Could Push BTC Forward within the Subsequent Many years – BlockNews

    September 1, 2025

    Bitcoin Worth Warning: Is a Main Promote-Off Coming Subsequent?

    September 1, 2025

    'Wealthy Dad, Poor Dad' Writer Kiyosaki Clarifies Why Bitcoin Is Lengthy-Time period Maintain – U.Right this moment

    September 1, 2025

    CryptoVideos.net is your premier destination for all things cryptocurrency. Our platform provides the latest updates in crypto news, expert price analysis, and valuable insights from top crypto influencers to keep you informed and ahead in the fast-paced world of digital assets. Whether you’re an experienced trader, investor, or just starting in the crypto space, our comprehensive collection of videos and articles covers trending topics, market forecasts, blockchain technology, and more. We aim to simplify complex market movements and provide a trustworthy, user-friendly resource for anyone looking to deepen their understanding of the crypto industry. Stay tuned to CryptoVideos.net to make informed decisions and keep up with emerging trends in the world of cryptocurrency.

    Top Insights

    Binance Chain Surges Forward in Memecoin Buying and selling, Leaves Solana Behind – BlockNews

    June 15, 2025

    Crypto Buyers Misplaced $2.5B to Hack and Scams within the First Half of 2025: Certik

    July 1, 2025

    ChainGPT and Binance Pay Be a part of Forces on Rewards Giveaway | Reside Bitcoin Information

    February 4, 2025

    Subscribe to Updates

    Get the latest creative news from FooBar about art, design and business.

    • Home
    • Privacy Policy
    • Contact us
    © 2025 CryptoVideos. Designed by MAXBIT.

    Type above and press Enter to search. Press Esc to cancel.