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BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has predicted that the cryptocurrency market will peak in March. After this, he expects a serious correction to occur.
Hayes famous that Bitcoin bottomed in 2022 across the similar time the Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility (RRP) reached its zenith. A big liquidity injection helped to propel tech shares and Bitcoin.
He has predicted that the Fed may find yourself dropping its capability to handle rising bond yields in an environment friendly method if the Treasury Common Account (TGA) runs out of cash.
Based on the analyst, cash market funds are on monitor to withdraw $237 billion in liquidity from the Reverse Repo Program (RRP) within the first quarter with a purpose to buy short-term authorities debt. Such a liquidity injection can be a bullish improvement for Bitcoin within the brief time period.
The Treasury must spend down the TGA if Congress fails to boost the debt ceiling.
These two developments will doubtless positively have an effect on Bitcoin’s worth motion within the first quarter of the brand new yr.
Nevertheless, the Treasury must replenish the TGA as soon as Congress raises the debt ceiling. “At that time, the Treasury will probably be free to borrow on a internet foundation once more and should refill the TGA. This will probably be greenback liquidity damaging,” he stated.
Tax deadlines will probably be one other bearish headwind for Bitcoin in April.
Therefore, Hayes believes that the cryptocurrency market will expertise a extreme correction because of the aforementioned components negatively affecting liquidity.
The previous BitMEX CEO has additionally opined that different components must be taken into consideration. These embody the financial insurance policies of China and Japan.
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their
personal and don’t characterize the views of U.As we speak. The monetary and market info
supplied on U.As we speak is meant for informational functions solely. U.As we speak will not be
responsible for any monetary losses incurred whereas buying and selling cryptocurrencies. Conduct
your personal analysis by contacting monetary consultants earlier than making any funding
choices. We imagine that each one content material is correct as of the date of publication,
however sure provides talked about might now not be obtainable.