Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, recognized for his or her insights on cryptocurrency ETFs, have assessed the chance of approval for a number of altcoin-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Whereas Ethereum stays the one altcoin with an ETF greenlight, they examined the prospects for Litecoin, Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin.
In line with their evaluation, Litecoin has the very best probability of approval at 90%, with a call anticipated by October 2, 2025. Dogecoin follows with a 75% likelihood by October 18, whereas Solana and XRP have estimated possibilities of 70% and 65% by their respective deadlines in October 2025.
The analysts identified that Litecoin and Dogecoin usually tend to be categorized as commodities by the SEC, which might enhance their approval odds. In addition they urged that the political panorama might affect future choices, noting that if the Democrats had gained the U.S. election as a substitute of Donald Trump, approvals for non-Litecoin altcoin ETFs might need been much less probably.
In the meantime, functions for HBAR and Polkadot spot ETFs stay below evaluation, with no likelihood estimates supplied. The SEC has just lately invited public feedback on the Litecoin and Solana ETF proposals as a part of its analysis course of.