The Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) has made an sudden climb right into a traditionally robust resistance zone, now hovering close to the 64.7% mark within the Excessive Time Body (HTF). This sharp transfer has sparked appreciable curiosity amongst analysts and merchants, with key technical indicators and chart formations suggesting a possible turning level that would usher within the long-awaited 2025 altcoin season.
Bitcoin Dominance Faces HTF Resistance
The Bitcoin Dominance has been steadily climbing for nearly 3 years, underscoring the flagship cryptocurrency’s enduring affect over the broader market. Notably, crypto analyst Gert van Lagen has unveiled an sudden uptick in BTC.D.
The analyst shared a technical chart evaluation of Bitcoin Dominance, highlighting a confluence of bearish indicators that mirror the 2021 market cycle — a interval that led to a dramatic shift in capital from BTC to various cryptocurrencies.
The analyst has identified that Bitcoin Dominance has now reached a key HTF resistance zone of round 64%-76 %. The present chart additionally exhibits a rising wedge sample, a typical indicator of market exhaustion earlier than a possible pattern reversal. This important wedge sample has shaped throughout the similar HTF resistance zone the place BTC.D topped out in previous cycles, together with the 2021 peak.
Including to the bearish outlook, the Relative Power Index (RSI) is flashing an everyday bearish divergence. Whereas Bitcoin Dominance is pushing increased, RSI is failing to do the identical, indicating weakening momentum. The same setup occurred in 2021, the place exaggerated bearish divergence foreshadowed the eventual breakdown of BTC.D and paved the best way for an altseason.
If historical past is any information, the market might be approaching one other inflection level. As within the final cycle, Lagen believes that the precise prime in Bitcoin Dominance won’t be confirmed till the uptrend construction breaks — a transfer that might probably shift consideration to altcoins.
Increasing on the Bitcoin Dominance latest rise, different analysts like Ijaz Awan on X disclosed that BTC.D is presently approaching a significant resistance zone between 71.38% and 73.06%. The analyst highlights that this space has been a robust turning level previously, performing as a prime again in 2017, 2019 and 2021. With Bitcoin Dominance nearing previous peaks, the analyst predicts a possible begin of the altcoin season.
Is The Altcoin Season Actually Coming?
In his put up, Lagen concluded his evaluation by stating that the altcoin season is dawning. Different distinguished analysts share this view, believing that Bitcoin’s Dominance serves as a key indicator of an impending altcoin season.
Notably, Karman Asghar, a crypto dealer and analyst, confirmed in an X put up {that a} new altcoin season is brewing in 2025 because the Bitcoin Dominance chart flashes acquainted warning indicators. The analyst shared two parallel charts, evaluating related Bitcoin Dominance in 2021 and 2025. Each charts displayed BTC.D forming a double prime, with a transparent bearish RSI divergence.
Whereas the bearish RSI divergence isn’t a assured set off, its recurrence mixed with historic market behaviour provides credibility to the concept that the market could also be on the point of one other main altcoin season.
Featured picture from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
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