Ethereum Basis researcher Justin Drake has issued a stark warning about Bitcoin’s long-term viability, questioning the sustainability of its safety mannequin primarily based on proof-of-work (PoW).
In an in depth evaluation shared on-line, Drake argued that Bitcoin’s diminishing block rewards and traditionally low transaction charges may jeopardize the community’s security. With every day transaction charges reportedly beneath 10 BTC—representing simply 1% of miners’ complete income—he urged the community is heading towards a extreme safety deficit.
Drake claimed that Bitcoin’s capped 21 million provide, mixed with its reliance on charges, may render the system economically fragile over time. He warned that if block rewards proceed shrinking whereas charges stay stagnant, even a fraction of at the moment’s mining capability may probably launch a 51% assault.
In response to Drake, Bitcoin’s sustainability relies on both adopting a brand new issuance mannequin—resembling “tail issuance,” which provides ongoing inflation—or changing PoW with proof-of-stake (PoS). Nonetheless, he acknowledged that each options face robust cultural resistance inside the Bitcoin neighborhood.
He additionally dismissed layer-2 scaling options and newer tasks like Ordinals and BitVM as short-term fixes that fail to handle the underlying concern of declining miner incentives.
Drake concluded with a pointy message: except Bitcoin’s financial and consensus fashions are restructured, the community may face existential dangers as its safety funds erodes.