Bitcoin and broader crypto markets could also be coming into a stronger section heading into the second half of 2025, as macroeconomic dangers ease and investor sentiment improves.
That’s the takeaway from a brand new market evaluation by Coinbase’s Head of Analysis, David Duong, who suggests digital belongings are poised for potential good points within the coming months.
Duong believes the worst of the current financial headwinds—resembling tariff-related uncertainty and recession fears—might now be behind. With the U.S. authorities leaning towards extra pro-growth, market-friendly insurance policies, he anticipates that threat belongings, together with crypto, may see a renewed rally as fiscal initiatives materialize later this summer time.
Again in early 2025, Coinbase had projected that digital belongings would backside within the first half of the yr, setting the stage for a run to new highs within the second half. Regardless of current value rebounds, Duong maintains that there’s room for additional upside over the subsequent a number of months.
Nevertheless, he warns that the trail ahead gained’t be with out potential pitfalls. A pointy climb in long-dated U.S. Treasury yields—notably within the 10- to 30-year vary—may tighten monetary circumstances greater than anticipated. In Might, 30-year yields reached 5.15%, marking the best stage in 20 years. If borrowing prices proceed to rise quickly, it may place strain on each fairness and credit score markets and problem broader financial momentum.
Whereas such a state of affairs may stir volatility throughout threat belongings, Duong notes it might additionally enhance demand for conventional protected havens—gold and Bitcoin chief amongst them. In distinction, altcoins would possibly wrestle underneath these circumstances, as capital seeks shelter in additional established store-of-value belongings.
Briefly, the macro backdrop seems to be bettering, however the stability between optimism and warning stays key in shaping the crypto market’s trajectory by means of the remainder of the yr.