Macro strategist Luke Gromen believes that surging power prices might set the stage for a dramatic rise in Bitcoin and gold, as inflationary stress shakes confidence in conventional monetary markets.
In a latest submit, Gromen argued {that a} spike in oil costs usually results in inflation, pushing central banks right into a nook. As the price of power rises in fiat phrases, so too does the worth of onerous belongings like gold — and, more and more, Bitcoin. The important thing set off, he suggests, is what occurs to the bond market in such situations.
If power costs climb excessive sufficient to drive inflation aggressively, Gromen says bond yields will turn out to be unsustainable with out intervention. That’s when central banks usually resort to printing cash to maintain yields from spiraling — a transfer that weakens the foreign money and makes non-sovereign belongings extra interesting.
Bitcoin, in his view, stands to learn considerably. Not solely is it extra scarce than gold by stock-to-flow requirements, however its foundations are tied on to the power sector: mining BTC requires monumental electrical energy enter, giving it a singular hyperlink to bodily power.
In a future the place governments are pressured to print extra money to maintain the system afloat, Gromen sees belongings with out counterparty threat — like gold and Bitcoin — because the seemingly winners.