In short
- Whereas crypto merchants could have hoped for it, predictors on Myriad are do not imagine a Santa rally is coming for crypto majors.
- Predictors additionally assume it is unlikely that President Trump will pardon developer Keonne Rodriguez by February.
- Alternatively, predictors favor Steve Harrington to make it by the “Stranger Issues” finale alive.
Crypto merchants haven’t had a lot to cheer about through the vacation season.
However headed into the ultimate stretch of 2025, predictors on Myriad can categorical their discontent (or unusual bullishness) by predicting whether or not or not Santa will carry a rally which might ship Bitcoin again in direction of $100,000 and Ethereum close to $4,000.
Different prime markets this week embody whether or not or not President Trump will pardon Samourai Pockets developer Keonne Rodriguez by February, plus predictions on the destiny of beloved “Stranger Issues” character, Steve Harrington.
(Disclaimer: Myriad Markets is a product of Decrypt’s guardian firm, Dastan.)
Will Santa carry us a rally?
Market Open: December 8
Market Shut: December 23
Quantity: $21.2K
Hyperlink: See the most recent odds on the “Will Santa carry us a rally?” market on Myriad
Santa is about to carry presents to youngsters all around the world subsequent week. However will he carry a rally to crypto markets as properly?
Predictors on Myriad don’t assume so—and the consensus is overwhelming.
Myriad’s “Santa rally” market asks predictors whether or not or not at the very least three of the next worth ranges shall be hit or exceeded between now and December 25: $99,000 BTC, $3,900 ETH, $199 SOL, or $999 BNB.
As of Thursday afternoon, odds are overwhelmingly in opposition to it, with 96% not anticipating a optimistic shock from Santa that might ship any three of the aforementioned belongings to their respective marks.
Every of the 4 belongings have fallen within the final 30 days—although BTC and ETH have been the stronger two, dropping 8.5% and 11.4%, respectively. SOL and BNB have dropped 16.2% and 11.8%, respectively, in the identical timeframe.
That’s dropped all of them even farther from the rally marks, all of that are at the very least 13% above their present standings.
As such, odds of “no rally” have jumped about 12% within the final week because the window out there for a Christmas surge dwindles.
What’s Subsequent? Predictions for this market shut two days earlier than Christmas.
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez earlier than February 2026?
Market Open: December 16
Market Shut: January 29
Quantity: $2.37K
Hyperlink: See the most recent odds on the “Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez earlier than February?” market on Myriad
Samouri Pockets developer Keonne Rodriguez was sentenced to 5 years in jail in November for his function in making a Bitcoin mixer software.
Earlier this week, President Trump informed Decrypt that he’d “take a look at” a possible pardon for Rodriguez. Now, predictors on Myriad are requested whether or not he could obtain a pardon earlier than February.
Because it stands on Thursday, predictors are assured Rodriguez won’t be pardoned by February, with odds in opposition to standing at 80%. That’s even though key advocacy teams are supporting Rodriguez, alongside Trump’s feedback this week on the matter.
The case maintains heightened controversy, notably for privateness advocates and builders who imagine the case undermines builders’ means to work on privacy-focused blockchain instruments.
However whereas Trump has pardoned different crypto-connected people like Silk Highway creator Ross Ulbricht and Binance founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, Rodriguez is much less optimistic about his probabilities, telling Decrypt this week, “We do not have billions of {dollars}. We do not have the identical kind of affect individuals like which have.”
What’s Subsequent? The market closes on January 29, 2026.
Will Steve Harrington Die in Stranger Issues Season 5?
Market Open: November 11
Market Shut: December 25
Quantity: $22.4K
Hyperlink: See the most recent odds on the “Will Steve Harrington Die?” market on Myriad
The hit sci-fi present “Stranger Issues” has returned for its closing season, with the primary batch of episodes releasing in November, the subsequent batch arriving on Christmas, and the feature-length sequence finale set to drop on New Yr’s Eve.
Myriad predictors can now place trades on their perception as as to whether or not key character Steve Harrington, performed by Joe Keery, will make it by the season alive.
As of Thursday afternoon, predictors are selecting life, giving odds of Steve’s loss of life only a 17% likelihood of occurring. That’s about 14% much less doubtless than his odds to die final week, with the occasions of the preliminary 4 episodes maybe reassuring predictors.
Theories about which primary character will die abound on the web, and a few Reddit threads devoted to Steve are “100% sure” he won’t perish by the point the sequence concludes on December 31.
However others are much less sure, pointing to a latest Tonight Present clip with the Duffer Brothers—the Stranger Issues creators—which noticed them push a Steve figurine off a desk.
Myriad’s market will solely resolve “sure” if there’s clear, on-screen proof of Steve’s loss of life. Based on market guidelines, “An ambiguous consequence—equivalent to his disappearance, an off-screen destiny, or any unclear standing” will result in a “no” decision.
What’s Subsequent? The subsequent episodes of Stranger Issues drop on December 25, with the finale arriving because the 12 months involves a detailed.
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