The Bitcoin value could also be approaching a short-term rebound, in accordance with on-chain analyst Willy Woo, as macroeconomic coverage developments within the US may speed up crypto adoption.
Woo’s data-driven fashions point out that investor flows into Bitcoin bottomed on December 24, 2025, and have been steadily strengthening since then. Whereas his broader outlook for 2026 stays cautious on account of waning liquidity, the near-term setup suggests a cautiously bullish window over the approaching weeks.
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Bitcoin Flows Sign Rebound as Trump’s Credit score Card Cap Looms
Bitcoin is at the moment buying and selling round $90,580, beneath the estimated miner manufacturing prices of roughly $101,000 per BTC.
In line with analyst Wimar.X, buying and selling beneath the miner price traditionally doesn’t set off panic promoting. As an alternative, miners gradual manufacturing and await higher costs, creating what is usually a zone of low exercise that acts as a short lived ground.
“BTC is affordable relative to what it takes to provide it…Most individuals panic promote right here. Then, BTC pushes again above the miner’s price, and everybody all of a sudden turns bullish once more. Identical story each cycle,” Wimar.X mentioned.
Elsewhere, on-chain analyst Willy Woo emphasizes that precise spot inflows, quite than narratives or fairness market correlations, are the important thing drivers of Bitcoin’s value restoration.
“Your complete market can completely rally upwards with out BTC if buyers aren’t allocating,” he famous. “Our work facilities on measuring the precise flows actual buyers put into BTC… not imaginary flows from narrative.”
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The technical and flow-driven image could intersect with a possible macro catalyst: President Donald Trump’s current proposal to cap bank card rates of interest at 10% for one yr, efficient January 20, 2026.
Trump’s Credit score Cap Might Push Shoppers Towards Bitcoin and DeFi
President Donald Trump’s current push to cap bank card rates of interest at 10% goals to ease the monetary burden on hundreds of thousands of Individuals. It may prohibit entry to conventional credit score for customers with scores beneath 780.
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Analysts and crypto commentators warn that this transfer could inadvertently drive these customers towards different monetary programs, together with Bitcoin.
Others highlighted that banks corresponding to Visa and Mastercard may face short-term volatility as they alter to potential restrictions on higher-risk credit score customers.
“Tomorrow, we’ll see the market response to Trump’s name for a ten% cap on bank card rates of interest, which may considerably affect Visa and Mastercard,” wrote analyst Crypto Rover.
Business analysts have famous that the coverage may lead to banks offloading low credit-rated prospects, who could then enter DeFi lending platforms like Aave or Compound.
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Crypto theorists counsel this might create a “seamless adoption cycle,” with stablecoins, Bitcoin, and Ethereum-based DeFi infrastructure benefiting from elevated demand for DeFi providers.
Whereas Woo sees a short-term rebound risk, he stays cautious in regards to the broader outlook for 2026. Liquidity flows have been declining relative to cost momentum since January 2025, indicating that whereas short-term rallies could happen, they could lack the assist mandatory for sustained upside.
Nonetheless, the convergence of miner-cost assist, strengthening flows, and potential policy-driven demand units up a high-volatility surroundings for Bitcoin.
As markets brace for the coverage to take impact on January 20 and for ongoing liquidity traits to unfold, the approaching weeks could show vital in testing whether or not Bitcoin can capitalize on each flow-driven fundamentals and macroeconomic shocks.
This creates a uncommon inflection level the place short-term bullish forces meet structural uncertainty.