XRP could also be prepared to interrupt free from its February underperformance curse. After years of lagging behind Bitcoin throughout this season, the XRP/BTC pair on TradingView is flashing considered one of its most promising upside setups in current reminiscence, with a 50% enhance because the goal.
On the month-to-month chart, XRP simply examined and bounced off the midline of the Bollinger band, represented by a 20-month shifting common, which is at present close to 0.00001988 BTC. From right here, a return to the highest band at 0.00003343 BTC would symbolize a 55% achieve, which is a degree that XRP has not reached since summer season 2023.
The final time this pair fashioned an identical candle construction with a quantity breakout and reclaimed the midband, XRP/BTC surged 60% in 4 weeks.
Nonetheless, February has traditionally been unfavorable for XRP. Within the final 10 years, the altcoin has overwhelmed Bitcoin in February solely as soon as, in 2021, when it surged 122.1%, whereas Bitcoin barely moved.
Each different yr? Losses or underperformance. The median February return for XRP is -8.12%. Bitcoin’s median: +12.2%.
XRP supercycle concept
Traditionally, February is when BTC takes the lead. This makes the present technical setup all of the extra vital. If XRP breaks this sample, each technically and seasonally, it may set off a rotation narrative the place funds reallocate from Bitcoin to high-beta majors like XRP.
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If XRP manages to outperform Bitcoin in February, it is not going to simply be a uncommon achievement; it may sign the start of a big XRP/BTC supercycle, which has not occurred because the 2017-2018 growth.
For now, the setup is there. Historical past says “no.” The chart says “perhaps.” Nonetheless, if XRP pulls this off, it will likely be one of many rarest flips within the cycle, and it begins now.