Tom Lee’s BitMine inventory has struggled to get well regardless of its deep connection to Ethereum. The BitMine inventory value has traded principally flat in current days and stays sharply down, 30% over the previous month, intently mirroring Ethereum’s personal decline. This weak point comes at the same time as the corporate continued rising its Ethereum publicity throughout 2026.
Usually, such aggressive accumulation would assist value power. However the BMNR inventory value remains to be displaying indicators of structural weak point. This raises an uncomfortable query. Why is the inventory not responding positively to its rising Ethereum place?
BitMine’s Ethereum Shopping for Continues, However Two Metrics Present Establishments Nonetheless Hesitant
BitMine considerably elevated its Ethereum holdings in 2026, including 279,158 ETH to its treasury as of February 22. The newest addition occurred between February 17 and February 22, when over 51,000 ETH had been added.
This regular accumulation confirms the corporate’s long-term conviction in Ethereum. But the inventory’s technical construction tells a special story.
BitMine stays caught inside a bear flag sample, which kinds when a short lived rebound occurs inside a broader downtrend. These patterns typically resolve with one other leg decrease if sturdy shopping for doesn’t return. For now, the projected danger sits at close to 60%, the pole’s peak.
On the identical time, the BitMine inventory continues buying and selling under its month-to-month Quantity Weighted Common Worth (VWAP), presently close to $20.38.
VWAP represents the typical value weighted by quantity and is extensively used as a proxy for institutional positioning. Buying and selling under VWAP suggests establishments are nonetheless holding defensive positions and haven’t totally returned as consumers.
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This hesitation additionally seems within the Chaikin Cash Circulate (CMF) indicator. CMF measures whether or not giant traders are shopping for or promoting by combining value and quantity information.
Whereas CMF has been rising towards the downtrend since late November, indicating that promoting stress is slowing, it stays under zero. This implies institutional promoting has eased, however sturdy shopping for has not but begun.
Collectively, VWAP and CMF present that regardless of BitMine’s aggressive Ethereum accumulation, institutional traders stay cautious.
The historic significance of breaking above the VWAP line is clear: when it occurred earlier in December, the BitMine inventory value surged by nearly 39% to an area peak.
If establishments aren’t shopping for but, what’s retaining the inventory from falling additional?
Retail Shopping for and Bullish Divergence Provide Non permanent Help
Retail traders look like offering the principle assist for now.
The On-Stability Quantity (OBV) indicator, which tracks cumulative shopping for and promoting stress, has been rising even whereas BitMine’s value trended decrease between February 9 and February 20. This divergence means that retail traders have been accumulating shares in periods of weak point.
Momentum indicators present an analogous sample. The Relative Energy Index (RSI), which measures momentum, has fashioned a bullish divergence from November 21, 2025, to February 12, 2026.
Whereas BitMine’s value made decrease lows, RSI fashioned greater lows. This sample typically indicators that promoting stress is weakening.
This divergence did set off a close to 16% rebound earlier, however the restoration stalled and didn’t reverse the broader development. This failure possible displays BitMine’s heavy dependence on Ethereum, as its giant ETH treasury makes the inventory extremely delicate to Ethereum’s continued weak point.
This exhibits retail shopping for alone has not been sturdy sufficient to completely shift market sentiment. The subsequent transfer now relies upon fully on whether or not key value ranges break.
Important BitMine Inventory Worth Ranges To Observe Now
The BitMine inventory now sits at a crucial technical crossroads.
The primary essential resistance degree is $21.76. Transferring above this degree would push the inventory above VWAP and sign bettering power. This might counsel institutional consumers are beginning to return.
Nonetheless, the broader bearish construction stays energetic until BitMine breaks above $30.52, which might possible weaken the bear flag sample. On the draw back, essentially the most crucial assist degree sits at $18.60.
If BitMine falls under this degree, the bearish construction would strengthen considerably. Falling underneath $18.60, accompanied by a drop in RSI, would additionally weaken the present bullish divergence construction by forming a brand new native backside. Plus, it might affirm the breakdown of the bear flag.
This might open the trail towards $15.08, with additional draw back danger towards $11.25 if promoting accelerates.
BitMine’s Ethereum accumulation exhibits long-term conviction. However till institutional consumers return and key resistance ranges break, the inventory stays susceptible to a different decline.