Ted Hisokawa
Feb 26, 2026 08:47
Toncoin trades at $1.28 with technical indicators exhibiting oversold situations. Key resistance at $1.38 may set off rally towards $2.65 based mostly on analyst projections.
Toncoin (TON) is at present navigating a crucial technical juncture because it trades close to key assist ranges. With the cryptocurrency exhibiting oversold situations and testing essential worth zones, this is our complete TON worth prediction evaluation for the approaching weeks.
TON Worth Prediction Abstract
• Brief-term goal (1 week): $1.38 (resistance breakout)
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.21-$1.65 vary
• Bullish breakout stage: $1.95 (pattern reversal affirmation)
• Crucial assist: $1.21-$1.24 zone
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin
Latest evaluation from Crypto Patel on February 25, 2026, supplies beneficial perception into Toncoin’s present positioning. In line with the analyst, “Toncoin is at present inside a higher-timeframe demand zone between $1.10 and $0.80, with a key invalidation stage at $0.75. A sustained break beneath it will weaken the bullish case.”
The analyst additional notes that “the extent that adjustments the pattern for TON is $1.95, which, if reclaimed, would point out a pattern reversal and a change from base constructing to growth, opening the door for potential targets of $2.65, $6.90, and $15.”
Whereas particular analyst predictions are at present restricted, on-chain metrics recommend TON is discovering assist inside its established demand zone, offering a basis for potential upside strikes.
TON Technical Evaluation Breakdown
The present technical image for Toncoin presents a combined however probably constructive outlook. Buying and selling at $1.28, TON is positioned between crucial technical ranges that may possible decide its near-term route.
The RSI studying of 35.22 locations TON in impartial territory with a slight oversold bias, suggesting potential for a aid rally. The MACD histogram at 0.0000 signifies bearish momentum is weakening, although it hasn’t but turned bullish. The extraordinarily low Stochastic readings (%Ok at 4.72, %D at 3.78) sign severely oversold situations that usually precede bounces.
TON’s place at 0.1030 on the Bollinger Band scale reveals the token buying and selling very near the decrease band at $1.25. This positioning close to the decrease boundary usually signifies oversold situations and potential assist. The center band at $1.38 represents the primary important resistance stage.
The shifting common alignment reveals the present downtrend, with TON buying and selling beneath all main EMAs and SMAs. The 20-period SMA at $1.38 represents instant resistance, whereas the 200-period SMA at $2.12 reveals the longer-term resistance zone.
Toncoin Worth Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish State of affairs
Within the bullish case for this Toncoin forecast, a break above the instant resistance at $1.33 would goal the SMA 20 stage at $1.38. A decisive break of this stage may set off momentum towards the $1.50 higher Bollinger Band.
The extra important bullish goal aligns with Crypto Patel’s evaluation, the place a reclaim of $1.95 would affirm a pattern reversal. This breakthrough may open the trail towards the preliminary goal of $2.65, representing a possible 107% achieve from present ranges.
Technical affirmation for the bullish situation would require:
– RSI breaking above 50
– MACD histogram turning optimistic
– Quantity enhance on upward strikes
– Sustained buying and selling above $1.38 resistance
Bearish State of affairs
The bearish case for TON facilities round a break beneath the crucial assist zone between $1.21-$1.24. Such a breakdown would goal the analyst’s invalidation stage at $0.75, representing a major 41% decline from present costs.
Key threat elements embody:
– Break beneath $1.21 assist
– RSI declining towards 30
– Continued bearish MACD alerts
– Low buying and selling quantity throughout any bounce makes an attempt
Ought to You Purchase TON? Entry Technique
Primarily based on present technical ranges, potential entry methods for TON embody:
Conservative Method: Watch for a confirmed break above $1.38 with elevated quantity earlier than coming into, focusing on $1.65 with a stop-loss at $1.24.
Aggressive Method: Contemplate accumulation within the present $1.24-$1.30 vary, putting stop-loss beneath $1.21 and focusing on the $1.38-$1.50 resistance zone.
Danger Administration: Given TON’s day by day ATR of $0.06, place sizing ought to account for this volatility. The crucial assist at $0.75 supplies a longer-term invalidation stage for any bullish thesis.
Conclusion
Our TON worth prediction suggests the cryptocurrency is at a pivotal second. Whereas at present exhibiting oversold situations that would assist a near-term bounce towards $1.38, the broader pattern stays difficult till TON can reclaim the $1.95 stage recognized by analysts.
The probably situation sees TON testing the $1.38 resistance throughout the subsequent week, with a profitable break probably extending towards $1.65. Nonetheless, failure to carry present assist ranges may see costs decline towards $1.21 or decrease.
Confidence stage: Reasonable, given the combined technical alerts and restricted analyst protection.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency worth predictions are inherently speculative and topic to excessive volatility. This evaluation is for informational functions solely and shouldn’t be thought of monetary recommendation. All the time conduct your individual analysis and threat evaluation earlier than making funding selections.
Picture supply: Shutterstock

