Key Takeaways
Can UNI attain $100 this cycle?
Extremely unlikely, given the market notion of being a VC coin with no buybacks.
What can change for the psychological goal to be hit?
If UNI begins a buyback program and captures present scorching narratives like perps, the prospect of hitting $100 may enhance.
The present main narratives are prediction markets, perpetuals and stablecoins, sidelining platforms like Uniswap [UNI] that deal with spot swaps.
In consequence, perps-focused decentralized exchanges (DEXes) like Hyperliquid [HYPE], Aster [ASTER] have been doing huge volumes. However Uniswap may nonetheless make a rebound.
The platform now has UniswapX, an aggregator of DEXes that permits customers to get the quickest and most cost-effective routes to commerce.
With DeFi brokers, real-world tokenization and stablecoin yields, these narratives may additionally gas Uniswap’s progress.
Can UNI eye $100?
If Uniswap captures the hypothesis meta through perps and prediction markets, a path in direction of $100 may very well be possible. The truth is, Jupiter [JUP] acts as Solana’s [SOL] liquidity base, like Uniswap does to the Ethereum [ETH] ecosystem.
However Jupiter is increasing to perps. Uniswap may gain advantage from all these narratives if it consists of perps, too.
As of writing, UNI was valued at $8 and has been caught in $4-$18 value vary since 2024. It was down over 80% from the 2021 peak stage of $44.
Supply: UNI/USDT, TradingView
Assuming the This fall rally performs out for altcoins and BTC dominance slips, UNI may eye $12 and the range-high at $17-$20 value zone. That might be 60% or 130% potential achieve, respectively, if hit.
A bullish breakout from this two-year vary may elevate the chances of surging to final cycle’s $44 stage.
But when the present sideways construction persists, then UNI may take an extended interval to succeed in the $100 goal.
DEX volumes surge however worth lags
That mentioned, the DEX did a formidable quantity of quantity in H2.
The month-to-month DEX quantity jumped from $91 billion in June to a peak of $143 billion in August. And revenues adopted from $93 million to $160 million, rivalling even Hyperliquid.
Supply: DeFiLlama
Nevertheless, there is no such thing as a worth accrual for UNI like Hyperliquid makes use of its income to purchase again HYPE.
The truth is, final month, Jeff Dorman took a swipe at Uniswap founder, stating that the UNI is a “nonsense token” except they start buybacks.
Supply: X
Briefly, a optimistic market sentiment (token buybacks) and capturing the continued narratives may very well be essential for UNI’s range-breakout.
With out these catalysts, the altcoin may wrestle to hit the $100 psychological stage.
Disclaimer: The knowledge offered doesn’t represent monetary, funding, buying and selling, or different varieties of recommendation and is solely the author’s opinion