Citi Says 'Purchase' Struggling Technique, Sees 61% Upside In 12 Months

Citi has assigned a ”Purchase” score to Michael Saylor’s struggling Bitcoin treasury agency Technique, forecasting 61% upside over the following 12 months primarily based on Bitcoin hitting the financial institution’s $181,000 value goal.

Technique is a ‘’leveraged proxy’’ for Bitcoin’s efficiency, the Wall Road funding financial institution mentioned in an Oct. 21 analysis word. It set a $485 value goal for Technique shares, assuming Bitcoin hits its 12-month value forecast and the corporate maintains its typical premium to internet asset worth.

However its analysts warned that whereas the inventory provides outsized upside in bull markets, it additionally magnifies draw back losses. A 25% pullback in BTC, they warned, might swing Technique’s NAV from a 35% premium to a reduction and reduce the inventory’s worth by as a lot as 61%.

“The inventory presents important dangers because of its positioning as a leveraged proxy for Bitcoin,” Citi analysts mentioned. ”Its worth is almost 100% tied to the sometimes-volatile cryptocurrency, which means that even a reasonable decline in Bitcoin’s value can result in magnified losses for MSTR shareholders.”  

$MSTR is Amplified $BTC. pic.twitter.com/UKLlKpL583

— Technique (@Technique) October 21, 2025

Crypto Treasury Companies Face Turbulent Occasions

Citi’s purchase suggestion comes at a tricky time for Technique, which has seen its share value droop 10% prior to now month, magnifying Bitcoin’s 4% loss over the identical interval.

MSTR rose greater than 1% yesterday however is down greater than 2% in pre-market buying and selling. 

Different crypto treasury companies are additionally beneath strain, squeezing their means to boost funds for extra purchases. 

Japan-based Metaplanet has seen its inventory value fall over 27% prior to now month, prompting CEO Simon Gerovich to announce that the agency has paused its share issuance as a part of an effort to optimize the corporate’s fundraising technique

BitMine Immersion Applied sciences, the biggest Ethereum treasury agency, has plunge 5% prior to now month, whereas fellow ETH-focussed agency SharpLink Gaming has slumped greater than 13%. 

Technique Retains On Shopping for

Technique began accumulating Bitcoin again in 2020 and has turn out to be the biggest company Bitcoin holder globally. In line with knowledge from Bitcoin Treasuries, Technique holds 640,418 BTC on its stability sheet. 

Prime 10 company BTC holders (Supply: Bitcoin Treasuries)

That’s over 12 occasions greater than the second-biggest Bitcoin treasury agency, MARA Holdings, with its reserves of 53,250 BTC.

And it reveals no indicators of stopping its BTC accumulation after saying one other buy of 168 BTC for $18.8 million on Monday.

Technique has acquired 168 BTC for ~$18.8 million at ~$112,051 per bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 26.0% YTD 2025. As of 10/19/2025, we hodl 640,418 $BTC acquired for ~$47.40 billion at ~$74,010 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC $STRK $STRF $STRD https://t.co/UILBHXkA6a

— Michael Saylor (@saylor) October 20, 2025

The typical buy value was about $112,051 per BTC, Saylor mentioned. It price the corporate round $47.4 billion to accumulate all of its holdings, with the general imply value for the acquisition at $74,010 BTC, Saylor added. 

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