Pi Coin worth has held up higher than most majors via November, however the charts now present a mixture of power and early warning indicators. November has been Pi’s calmest month since summer season, and the token continues to be attempting to show inexperienced for less than the third time this 12 months.
The query now could be whether or not this momentum can survive December, even do higher than November, or if the bigger downtrend reclaims management.
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Historical past And Its Detrimental Correlation With Bitcoin
Pi Coin continues to be younger, so its worth historical past leaves a brief however clear story. Most of 2025 has been pink. Solely February and Might printed inexperienced months. November is attempting to affix that record.
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What stands out is PI’s detrimental month-to-month correlation with Bitcoin, at the moment round –0.24. When Bitcoin drops, Pi typically holds firmer and even rises. Since Bitcoin has been weakening since October, Pi has discovered assist.
During the last month, Pi is down solely about 2.6%, whereas Bitcoin has dropped way more sharply. Virtually 19%.
Weekly efficiency additionally displays this. Pi continues to be up about 2.7% over the past seven days, making it one of many steadier cash throughout a weak market. Nonetheless, some alerts on the three-day chart now counsel that December may very well be more difficult than November.
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Hidden Bearish Divergence Seems As Massive Cash Weakens
Pi Coin’s broader construction stays inside a converging falling wedge, which is often a bullish sample. The PI worth is now near the higher trendline of that wedge. A breakout from right here would usually look constructive. However two indicators present early weak spot.
The primary is the RSI divergence on the three-day chart. The RSI, or Relative Power Index, measures momentum. Between October 25 and November 24, Pi Coin made a decrease excessive, however RSI made a better excessive. It is a hidden bearish divergence. It often means the downtrend beneath continues to be sturdy, even when the value appears to be like steady.
The second is the CMF, or Chaikin Cash Stream, which tracks whether or not giant quantities of cash enter or exit the market. CMF continues to be in detrimental territory on the three-day chart and is now sliding towards its ascending trendline.
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The final time CMF revisited this trendline in early October, Pi dropped greater than 42%.
Each alerts collectively imply that PI’s November power could not absolutely translate into December until cash returns and CMF avoids a breakdown.
Pi Coin Value Ranges To Watch In December
The chart exhibits a easy image. PI worth wants to interrupt $0.28 to construct momentum. That stage strains up with the wedge’s higher boundary.
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A clear shut above $0.28 can open strikes to $0.36, and if momentum improves additional, even $0.46 turns into attainable. However the indicators counsel that is much less probably until CMF improves.
On the draw back, $0.21 and $0.20 are the primary ranges to observe. A drop below $0.20 exposes the $0.18 zone. If Bitcoin all of a sudden flips bullish, PI’s detrimental correlation may cause short-term underperformance. That will pull the Pi Coin worth towards the decrease wedge band.
Crucial line for December is $0.20. Sustaining that stage preserves the long-term construction. Dropping it brings $0.18, and probably $0.15, again into view.
Pi Coin nonetheless has an opportunity to shut the 12 months stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, that relies upon totally on CMF stabilizing and whether or not the falling wedge lastly permits the value to interrupt via $0.28.
There may be hope nonetheless if Bitcoin weakens and the detrimental correlation makes Pi Coin extra fascinating to large cash.