- XRP should maintain above $2.60 to remain bullish, whereas $3.40 stays the important thing breakout degree.
- A drop beneath the $1.90 zone would break the bullish construction on the month-to-month chart.
- The newly accredited 21Shares U.S. Spot XRP ETF may increase momentum if sturdy inflows arrive.
XRP is sitting in that bizarre in-between zone once more, buying and selling round $2.20 whereas everybody retains staring on the similar resistance and help traces like they’re about to blink. The market has been a bit jittery, and truthfully, the timing couldn’t be extra dramatic with an XRP ETF lastly accredited within the U.S. Merchants are watching the charts, the candles, the entire thing… ready to see if this month-to-month shut provides us an actual path or simply extra sideways noise.

Testing the $2.60 Line That Simply Received’t Go Away
The extent that retains coming again into the dialog—nearly annoyingly—is $2.60. Analyst Egrag Crypto identified that XRP actually wants to shut above this mark to carry onto its bullish construction. Sounds easy, nevertheless it’s truly tied to the 0.5 Fibonacci degree on the month-to-month chart, which has acted like each a ground and a ceiling all through 2025. XRP popped above it in July, dipped once more, and now we’re again poking at it. An in depth above doesn’t assure fireworks… nevertheless it retains the momentum from falling aside, which is half the battle on this market.
The Large Prize Sits at $3.40, However It Received’t Be Simple
Now, if XRP manages to get previous $3.40, that’s the place the temper shifts fully. Egrag calls this the “tremendous bullish macro breakout,” and truthfully, the title matches. That degree sits proper on the 0.888 Fibonacci retracement—normally the final hurdle earlier than the market begins eyeing outdated all-time highs. The worth has been squeezing tightly beneath it, the sort of compression that normally results in a decisive transfer. If patrons take management, that zone may set off a reasonably sharp leg upward. If not… nicely, we keep congested and annoyed for some time.
Hazard Zone Lurks at $1.90 on the Month-to-month Chart
Nevertheless it’s positively not all upside potential. On the flip aspect, XRP actually can’t afford to shut beneath the 21-month EMA, which is hovering between $1.83 and $1.90. That’s the road within the sand, the one you don’t wish to see damaged in case you’re holding lengthy. Egrag didn’t sugarcoat it both—he mainly mentioned that falling beneath that degree wipes out the bullish construction and, in his phrases, “we’re f**ked.” Not precisely inspirational, however you get the purpose.
ETF Approval Provides Gas — or Stress — to the Chart
Simply as all this technical drama unfolds, the SEC has lastly accredited 21Shares’ U.S. Spot XRP ETF (ticker: TOXR), which formally launches Monday. This can be a large institutional milestone for XRP, one thing the group has been ready on for years. If the ETF pulls in inflows something like what we noticed with different spot crypto merchandise, it may give XRP the catalyst it must push larger. However the timing additionally raises the stakes — with value sitting proper at help and testing resistance, the market will probably be watching carefully to see whether or not the ETF turns into a spark… or a nothing-burger.
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