Following the seize of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on Saturday, consideration has turned to the nation’s transition to new management — and one Bitcoiner is within the operating to steer that cost.
María Corina Machado, Venezuelan opposition chief and winner of the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025, is the second-favorite to steer Venezuela’s shift away from authoritarian rule beneath Maduro, who has been transferred to New York to face federal fees associated to narcotics trafficking and corruption.
Knowledge from predictions market Kalshi reveals Machado has a 28% likelihood of main Venezuela by the tip of 2026, trailing solely Unitary Platform’s Edmundo González Urrutia (32%), who’s broadly believed to have gained Venezuela’s election in Might 2025 however was blocked from assuming the presidency by Maduro’s United Socialist Celebration.
In third is Vice President Delcy Eloína Rodríguez (27%), Maduro’s former operating mate, who was appointed performing president by Venezuela’s Supreme Court docket following Maduro’s seize.

US President Donald Trump stated the US would run Venezuela till a brand new management is established, elevating uncertainty concerning the nation’s short-term future.
A Machado-led Venezuela might see primary human rights and political freedom restored, in addition to a pointy flip towards free-market reforms, together with using Bitcoin (BTC) as a substitute for the crippling Venezuelan bolivar, which has misplaced greater than 99.99% of its buying energy since Maduro took workplace in 2013.
Bitcoin has been a “lifeline” for Venezuelans: Machado
Talking with the Human Rights Basis’s chief technique officer, Alex Gladstein, in late 2024, Machado envisioned making Bitcoin a nationwide reserve asset and helping its adoption as a funds answer:
“Venezuelans discovered a lifeline in Bitcoin throughout hyperinflation, utilizing it to guard their wealth and to finance their escape,” Machado stated on the time.
“It has developed from a humanitarian software to an important technique of resistance. We’re grateful for the lifeline Bitcoin supplies and stay up for embracing it in a brand new democratic Venezuela.”
Over 8 million Venezuelans have fled the nation since Maduro took over in 2013, and crypto has been one in every of a number of fee instruments used to ship a refund to members of the family.
Trump just isn’t assured about Machado
Machado’s odds on Kalshi briefly overtook González’s on Saturday, however fell after US President Donald Trump stated she does not have the respect to steer Venezuela out of Maduro’s regime.
“I feel it could be very robust for her to be the chief. She does not have the assist inside or the respect throughout the nation. She’s a really good lady, however she does not have the respect.”
Trump’s take has been opposed by a number of political analysts accustomed to Venezuela’s scenario, together with the founder and CEO of Mission Pulso, Liz Rebecca Alarcón, who advised ABC that the opposition chief already has overwhelming assist.
“We additionally need our will as Venezuelans inside and out of doors of the nation to be revered and that may is for Maria Corina Machado and Edmundo Gonzále Urrutia to ultimately take maintain.”
Machado was broadly tipped to beat Maduro within the 2025 election, however was controversially banned from operating by the Supreme Court docket for alleged administrative irregularities and purported violations of electoral regulation.
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Maduro’s Venezuela shut down Bitcoin miners
The United Socialist Celebration, which Rodríguez now leads, has an extended historical past of seizing Bitcoin miners and shutting down amenities, typically citing unlawful energy use or lack of permits.

The Trump administration spoke with Rodríguez on Saturday, who initially signaled willingness to cooperate however later backtracked, calling Maduro’s seize an “unlawful kidnapping” and the US operation a breach of Venezuela’s sovereignty.
If she does not do what’s proper, she goes to pay a really huge worth, in all probability larger than Maduro,” Trump advised The Atlantic on Sunday.
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