Venezuela’s political transition entered a brand new part after the arrest of President Nicolás Maduro, with markets and observers watching who may lead the nation subsequent.
Prediction market Kalshi lists opposition determine and bitcoin advocate María Corina Machado as a number one contender to be head of state by the tip of 2026.
Odds after Maduro arrest
Kalshi places Machado at a couple of 27% likelihood of main Venezuela by end-2026.
She trails opposition politician Edmundo González Urrutia, whom the opposition says gained the 2025 presidential election.
Machado is forward of Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, who was appointed performing president after Maduro’s arrest.
Maduro was detained on Jan. 3, 2025, and flown to america to face federal costs tied to corruption and narcotics trafficking, the report mentioned.
Bitcoin in Machado’s platform
Machado has argued that bitcoin served as a “lifeline” for Venezuelans throughout hyperinflation and the bolívar’s collapse in buying energy since 2013.
Machado mentioned:
“Venezuelans discovered a lifeline in Bitcoin throughout hyperinflation, utilizing it to guard their wealth and to finance their escape.”
The report mentioned she has additionally floated bitcoin as a part of a future financial mannequin, together with potential use as a reserve asset and as a funds instrument.
US President Donald Trump mentioned Washington can be concerned in managing Venezuela’s transition till new management is shaped.
Trump additionally publicly questioned Machado’s capacity to safe home assist.
Individually, Venezuela’s ruling get together has beforehand shut down bitcoin mining operations and seized tools, citing violations and unlawful electrical energy use.