Tony Kim
Feb 09, 2026 05:52
Avalanche (AVAX) reveals blended alerts at $9.12 with analyst targets of $15.50-$16.50 by month-end, although bearish momentum and oversold circumstances current near-term challenges for the altcoin.
AVAX Worth Prediction Abstract
• Quick-term goal (1 week): $8.84-$9.44 vary
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $15.50-$16.50 vary
• Bullish breakout degree: $9.44
• Important assist: $8.84
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Avalanche
Current analyst protection reveals optimistic medium-term outlooks for Avalanche regardless of present value weak point. Alvin Lang issued an AVAX value prediction on February 2, 2026, concentrating on $15.50-$16.50 by late February 2026, representing potential upside of 70-80% from present ranges.
Viktoras Karapetjanc offered a extra aggressive Avalanche forecast on February 6, 2026, stating: “Avalanche at $10 towards $1.3 billion RWA TVL is a transparent disconnect. BlackRock would not tokenize on untrusted chains. If the ETF positive factors traction and Bitcoin holds $100K, $55 is reasonable—however persistence is required.” His evaluation suggests AVAX might attain $55 by finish of 2026, emphasizing the elemental disconnect between value and real-world asset tokenization exercise.
In keeping with on-chain knowledge, Avalanche’s whole worth locked in real-world belongings has reached $1.3 billion, indicating sturdy institutional adoption that hasn’t but mirrored in value motion.
AVAX Technical Evaluation Breakdown
Avalanche’s present technical image presents a blended outlook at $9.12. The RSI studying of 31.96 signifies impartial circumstances with a slight oversold bias, suggesting potential for a bounce if assist holds.
The MACD evaluation reveals regarding momentum, with the histogram at 0.0000 indicating bearish momentum has stalled however hasn’t turned bullish. The MACD line at -1.0352 stays in damaging territory, confirming the underlying bearish development stays intact.
Bollinger Bands positioning reveals AVAX buying and selling within the decrease portion of the bands, with a %B place of 0.20. This locations the token a lot nearer to the decrease band ($8.10) than the higher band ($13.20), indicating oversold circumstances that might assist a technical rebound.
Key transferring averages paint a bearish image throughout timeframes. AVAX trades under all main transferring averages, with the 7-day SMA at $9.24 offering quick resistance. The 200-day SMA at $19.25 highlights how far the token has fallen from longer-term averages.
The Common True Vary of $0.84 suggests reasonable volatility, offering alternatives for swing merchants throughout the established vary.
Avalanche Worth Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish State of affairs
If AVAX can break above the quick resistance at $9.28 and robust resistance at $9.44, the trail opens towards the higher Bollinger Band at $13.20. Technical affirmation would require RSI breaking above 50 and MACD histogram turning optimistic.
The analyst goal of $15.50-$16.50 turns into achievable if Avalanche can maintain momentum above the 20-day transferring common at $10.65. This is able to symbolize an entire reversal of the present downtrend and align with elementary catalysts round RWA tokenization.
Bearish State of affairs
Failure to carry quick assist at $8.98 might set off a transfer towards sturdy assist at $8.84. A break under this degree would goal the decrease Bollinger Band at $8.10, representing further draw back danger of 11% from present ranges.
The bearish case is supported by value motion under all transferring averages and damaging MACD readings. Quantity has been reasonable at $18.97 million, suggesting restricted shopping for curiosity at present ranges.
Ought to You Purchase AVAX? Entry Technique
Conservative patrons ought to watch for a transparent break above $9.44 resistance with accompanying quantity affirmation. This would supply technical validation that the promoting stress is exhausting.
For extra aggressive merchants, the present oversold circumstances current alternative close to assist ranges. Think about dollar-cost averaging between $8.84-$9.12 with stop-losses under $8.10.
Threat administration stays essential given the bearish technical setup. Place sizing ought to account for potential draw back to the decrease Bollinger Band, with revenue targets initially set on the 20-day transferring common round $10.65.
Conclusion
This AVAX value prediction suggests a difficult near-term outlook with potential for vital medium-term positive factors. Whereas technical indicators present bearish momentum, analyst targets of $15.50-$16.50 by late February seem achievable if elementary catalysts round institutional adoption materialize.
The Avalanche forecast hinges on the broader crypto market sustaining stability and AVAX demonstrating its capability to interrupt above key resistance ranges. Merchants ought to monitor the $9.44 breakout degree intently as a key inflection level for the following directional transfer.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency value predictions are extremely speculative and mustn’t represent monetary recommendation. At all times conduct your individual analysis and take into account danger tolerance earlier than investing.
Picture supply: Shutterstock

