TON Value Prediction: Testing $1.54 Resistance with Impartial Momentum in February 2026

TON Value Prediction Abstract

• Brief-term goal (1 week): $1.51-$1.54
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.44-$1.58 vary
• Bullish breakout stage: $1.54
• Vital assist: $1.44

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

Whereas particular analyst predictions are restricted for the present timeframe, latest forecasts from late 2025 and early 2026 confirmed combined sentiment for Toncoin. In accordance with on-chain knowledge and technical indicators, TON has been consolidating inside an outlined vary, suggesting uncertainty about its subsequent directional transfer.

Earlier evaluation from December 2025 indicated potential for Toncoin to succeed in the $1.91-$2.15 vary, citing bullish momentum and constructive MACD indicators. Nevertheless, present technical situations present a extra impartial stance because the market enters February 2026.

TON Technical Evaluation Breakdown

Toncoin’s present technical image presents a combined however predominantly impartial outlook. Buying and selling at $1.48, TON sits above its short-term transferring averages with the 7-day SMA at $1.41 and 20-day SMA additionally at $1.41, indicating latest upward momentum from decrease ranges.

The RSI studying of 51.83 locations Toncoin firmly in impartial territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold situations. This impartial RSI gives room for motion in both route with out fast reversal stress.

The MACD evaluation reveals fascinating dynamics with each the MACD line and sign line at -0.0342, whereas the histogram reads precisely 0.0000. This configuration suggests bearish momentum is doubtlessly stalling, with the opportunity of a bullish crossover if shopping for stress will increase.

Bollinger Bands evaluation reveals TON buying and selling at 0.76 of the band width, positioning it within the higher portion of the vary between $1.27 (decrease band) and $1.55 (higher band). The center band at $1.41 has been efficiently reclaimed as assist.

The every day ATR of $0.10 signifies reasonable volatility, offering cheap buying and selling alternatives with out extreme threat for place administration.

Toncoin Value Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish State of affairs

Within the bullish case, TON value prediction suggests an preliminary check of fast resistance at $1.51, adopted by a possible breakout above the sturdy resistance stage at $1.54. A profitable break above $1.54 might open the trail towards the Bollinger Band higher restrict at $1.55.

Technical affirmation for this Toncoin forecast would require RSI breaking above 60, indicating strengthening momentum, and MACD histogram turning constructive with a bullish crossover. The 24-hour buying and selling quantity of $5.53 million would wish to extend considerably to assist such a breakout.

Prolonged targets in a powerful bullish situation might see TON difficult the 50-day transferring common at $1.58, representing roughly 6.8% upside from present ranges.

Bearish State of affairs

The bearish case for this TON value prediction facilities on failure to interrupt above the $1.51-$1.54 resistance zone. A rejection from these ranges might result in a retest of fast assist at $1.46, adopted by sturdy assist at $1.44.

Ought to the $1.44 stage fail to carry, the subsequent vital assist lies on the Bollinger Band decrease boundary of $1.27, representing a possible 14% decline from present ranges. The detrimental MACD studying of -0.0342 helps this bearish situation if momentum continues to deteriorate.

Danger components embrace the numerous hole between present value and the 200-day transferring common at $2.23, indicating longer-term bearish stress that might affect shorter-term actions.

Ought to You Purchase TON? Entry Technique

Primarily based on present technical evaluation, the optimum entry technique for TON includes ready for clear directional affirmation. Conservative patrons ought to contemplate getting into on a profitable break and shut above $1.54 with elevated quantity, concentrating on the $1.58 resistance stage.

For extra aggressive merchants, a present entry round $1.48 may very well be justified with a decent stop-loss beneath $1.44 to restrict draw back threat. This strategy gives a good risk-reward ratio if the bullish situation materializes.

The Toncoin forecast suggests utilizing a dollar-cost averaging strategy for longer-term positions, because the impartial RSI and consolidating value motion point out potential for range-bound buying and selling within the close to time period.

Danger administration ought to embrace place sizing of not more than 2-3% of portfolio worth given the cryptocurrency’s volatility, with stop-losses set on the $1.44 assist stage to protect capital.

Conclusion

This TON value prediction evaluation reveals a cryptocurrency at a technical crossroads, with impartial momentum indicators suggesting the subsequent main transfer may very well be decisive. Essentially the most possible situation includes testing the $1.54 resistance stage throughout the subsequent week, with a breakout doubtlessly concentrating on $1.58.

Nevertheless, merchants ought to stay cautious given the combined technical indicators and the numerous distance from longer-term transferring averages. The Toncoin forecast carries reasonable confidence given present market situations, with success depending on quantity affirmation and broader cryptocurrency market sentiment.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency value predictions are inherently speculative and topic to excessive volatility. This evaluation is for informational functions solely and shouldn’t be thought of monetary recommendation. All the time conduct your personal analysis and contemplate your threat tolerance earlier than making funding selections.

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