Shopping for Bitcoin earlier than it reaches $54,320 could also be too early. At the very least, that’s the image painted by the month-to-month BTC/USD chart with Bollinger Bands utilized, as per TradingView.
In keeping with this indicator, which measures not solely the asset’s volatility but additionally which bias at present prevails in the marketplace, after Bitcoin’s worth in December 2025 fell under the center band represented by the 20-month transferring common, its major magnet turned the decrease band at $54,420.
Whereas in December this degree appeared out of attain, two months later and after an almost 30% decline within the main cryptocurrency, such marks not look surreal. In web phrases, Bitcoin has about 17% left to fall with a purpose to attain the decrease band on the month-to-month time-frame.
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Why $54,420 degree is magnet to observe for BTC
Wanting on the historic perspective, it was the decrease band on the month-to-month time-frame that marked the market backside in 2022, when Bitcoin hit $18,622, touching that band. Though within the following months as much as January 2023, the worth continued transferring sideways and even refreshed that low, it didn’t contact the decrease band once more.
On one hand, a transfer into the $54,000 zone with a contact of the decrease Bollinger Band would probably place the cryptocurrency very near a cycle backside. Alternatively, this doesn’t rule out the chance that Bitcoin may set an extra decrease low throughout a subsequent sideways restoration part.
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Presently buying and selling at $66,000, BTC sits proper in the course of the decrease Bollinger channel, representing a comparatively harmful space for making funding selections, because it has equal chance of retesting the center band at $89,600, which might imply a 36.5% transfer, or persevering with the decline that has been underway for 5 months since October 2025 and hitting the decrease Bollinger Band.
Both manner, a transfer towards both the center band or the decrease band would provide a extra optimum setup for funding selections, as it will present higher readability and a extra outlined risk-reward profile.