A worth zone that held as a ground all through all of 2025 is now blocking XRP from recovering. The $1.80 degree — as soon as a dependable assist — flipped to resistance in January 2026, and the token has not come near reclaiming it since. Till it does, one analyst says XRP stays “in serious trouble.”
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A Channel Break That Modified The whole lot
For many of final 12 months, XRP traded inside a big parallel channel with a ceiling close to $3.45 and a ground round $1.80. The token stayed inside these boundaries at the same time as its worth began slipping after hitting an all-time excessive of $3.60 in July 2025. Decrease highs and decrease lows piled up by way of the fourth quarter, however $1.80 held.
Then January got here. XRP closed the month beneath that degree for the primary time, and it has not seemed again. The $1.80 ground turned a ceiling, and each try and push larger has run into that wall.
If I zoom out, I nonetheless see $XRP in serious trouble.
It’s clearly downtrending with a collection of decrease lows and decrease highs, and above all, it’s nonetheless beneath that key degree at $1.80.
So long as we don’t break this downtrend, we may anticipate that “no assist zone” to be crammed. pic.twitter.com/mNuF8O8LWo
— Sjuul | AltCryptoGems (@AltCryptoGems) March 18, 2026
Analyst Sjuul of the AltCryptoGems channel laid out the scenario in a latest market breakdown. Zooming out to the every day chart, he pointed to the sample of decrease lows and decrease highs that has outlined XRP’s worth motion for the reason that July peak — a construction that leaves the broader downtrend totally intact no matter short-term bounces.
A 15% Rally That Nonetheless Went Nowhere
XRP did handle a stretch of beneficial properties between March 9 and 16 — seven up days out of eight, its greatest run since September 2025. The token climbed 15% throughout that window, reclaiming $1.50 and shutting at $1.54 on March 16.
However the rally stalled virtually instantly. A push towards $1.60 bumped into resistance at $1.6074 earlier this week, and XRP has since pulled again on three consecutive days, now buying and selling round $1.46. The restoration, spectacular because it briefly seemed, by no means got here wherever close to $1.80.
For context, XRP had dropped to $1.27 on February 28 throughout the preliminary market response to the Israel-Iran battle earlier than clawing again above $1.50. The March rally was largely a rebound from that low — not a pattern reversal.
Associated Studying
Two Situations, One Quantity
Sjuul sees the trail ahead as easy. XRP both reclaims $1.80 and pushes again contained in the parallel channel — invalidating the bearish setup — or it doesn’t, and the draw back danger grows sharply.
The extent he flags on the draw back is the $1.20 to $1.30 zone. That space provided no resistance throughout XRP’s explosive November 2024 rally, which is what analysts name a “no assist zone” — a worth vary the market blew by way of so quick that few consumers established positions there.
Since that rally, the zone has acted as a cushion throughout dips. If $1.80 continues to carry as resistance, Sjuul suggests XRP may fall again towards that vary.
Featured picture from Unsplash, chart from TradingView