An analytical framework for measuring quantum progress, constructed on printed analysis from Google and different quantum leaders
NEW YORK, Could 6, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — Undertaking Eleven as we speak launched The Quantum Menace to Blockchains 2026 Report, an analytical framework for measuring progress towards a cryptographically related quantum pc (CRQC). The mannequin locations Q-Day at a baseline of 2033, with optimistic and pessimistic eventualities at 2030 and 2042.
“The report is a proof of how quantum computer systems work, and a mannequin for evaluating their progress,” stated Alex Pruden, CEO and Co-Founding father of Undertaking Eleven. “We current a forecast primarily based on state-of-the-art analysis, however anybody can use our methodology and add their very own assumptions to generate their very own forecasts as new data emerges.”
Undertaking Eleven’s report consists of two sections. First, the report outlines an approachable framework for understanding quantum computing, and a mannequin for estimating Q-Day. Second, the authors present a complete vulnerability evaluation of the blockchain ecosystem, with suggestions for enterprises and protocols making ready for Q-Day.
“Each main blockchain that depends on elliptic curve signatures faces the identical underlying drawback, however the engineering path ahead is completely different for each,” stated Conor Deegan, CTO and Co-Founding father of Undertaking Eleven. “Every protocol must redesign completely different components of their stack to soak up post-quantum signatures. If that work has not already began, it ought to begin now.”
5 years in the past, breaking RSA-2048 was estimated to require roughly 20 million bodily qubits, and ECDSA (the algorithm securing Bitcoin) had acquired far much less consideration from quantum algorithm specialists. Current useful resource estimates by Google and Oratomic have diminished that baseline by a number of orders of magnitude.
The Quantum Menace to Blockchains 2026 Report is on the market on the Undertaking Eleven weblog.
Alex Pruden and Conor Deegan can be found for interview.
About Undertaking Eleven
Undertaking Eleven builds resilient infrastructure and tooling for the post-quantum period. The corporate develops scalable options that strengthen safety throughout a quickly evolving quantum risk panorama. With deep experience in cryptography, blockchain, and monetary techniques, Undertaking Eleven bridges superior post-quantum analysis with real-world implementations that put together the digital asset ecosystem for the long run. For extra data, go to www.projecteleven.com.
Media Contacts
Aubrey Strobel / Elena Nisonoff, Halcyon Communications
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