Crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen, recognized for his correct prediction of Bitcoin’s correction in January, believes BTC nonetheless has room for development this 12 months.
Cowen forecasts a possible “counter-trend” rally for Bitcoin within the coming months, however he’s intently monitoring key worth ranges to find out if the bull run is actually over.
He predicts a big drop in Q1 2025, adopted by a counter-rally in Q2/Q3, the place most altcoin pairs will seemingly undergo. Nonetheless, Cowen factors out that if Bitcoin drops under $70,000 within the subsequent few weeks, the rally might finish in a decrease excessive, indicating the market has peaked.
Conversely, if Bitcoin stays above $70,000, the rally might result in the next excessive, suggesting additional positive factors and a continuation of the bull market.
On the time of writing, Bitcoin is buying and selling round $86,380, and Cowen is watching intently for a potential breakout. He additionally foresees that Bitcoin’s trajectory might be influenced by macroeconomic components, equivalent to rate of interest insurance policies and general investor sentiment.
He highlights the affect of the Federal Reserve’s financial choices on Bitcoin’s efficiency, emphasizing {that a} shift in liquidity might both enhance Bitcoin’s worth or velocity up a market correction.
Cowen believes that the important thing to sustaining Bitcoin’s momentum is the renewed involvement of retail traders, suggesting {that a} restoration out there will rely closely on renewed enthusiasm from particular person merchants somewhat than simply institutional capital.