Standard Chartered projects Arbitrum to hit $10 by 2030

Standard Chartered has set a $10 price target for Arbitrum’s (ARB) token by the end of 2030, implying a roughly 70‑fold rise from its current level of about $0.13. The bank’s outlook is based on expanding blockchain use by traditional financial institutions and the growth of tokenized assets.

Price targets and comparative outlook

The bank outlines interim targets of $0.50 by 2026, $1.50 by 2027, $3.50 by 2028 and $6.50 by 2029. In the same note, Standard Chartered forecasts Ether (ETH) to reach $4,000 by 2026 and $40,000 by 2030, and Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $100,000 by 2026 and $500,000 by 2030, suggesting ARB could outperform both assets over the forecast period.

Revenue‑driven business model

Arbitrum’s role as an enterprise infrastructure provider is highlighted, particularly its Arbitrum Expansion Program (AEP), which grants the network a rolling fee equal to 10 % of net protocol revenue from external chains using its stack. Standard Chartered estimates that, following the July 1 launch of Robinhood Chain, Arbitrum will collect about $5 million in AEP fees in September, with daily fee revenue on Robinhood Chain averaging $2.8 million in early September. The bank notes that Arbitrum’s monthly revenue is now more than five times its pre‑Robinhood level.

Tokenized assets as a growth catalyst

The bank projects tokenized assets to reach $4 trillion by the end of 2028, up from roughly $340 billion today, and tokenized equities to grow to $750 billion in the same period. This expansion is seen as a key driver for ARB’s valuation.

Risks and uncertainties

Standard Chartered flags several risks, including slower-than‑expected asset tokenization, competition from other blockchain platforms, and the fact that ARB does not have direct value accrual mechanisms. Ongoing regulatory developments, such as the DTCC’s work on tokenized equities and pending U.S. legislation, are also noted as potential headwinds.