Charles Edwards, founder and CEO of Capriole Investments, has provided a contemporary perspective on Bitcoin’s stalled value motion close to the $100,000 mark, regardless of rising institutional enthusiasm.
In keeping with Edwards, the reply lies within the actions of long-term holders—not in a scarcity of demand.
Lengthy-Time period Holders Are Promoting to Wall Road
For the reason that approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, Edwards explains that long-time Bitcoin holders (LTHs) have been quietly offloading their positions. These gross sales are directed towards institutional consumers getting into the house by way of ETFs, making a hidden supply of promoting strain that offsets a lot of the bullish sentiment.
Whereas mainstream narratives usually highlight institutional FOMO and the surge in ETF flows, Edwards argues the true market dynamic lies on this discreet switch of cash from seasoned holders to Wall Road.
Treasury-Pushed “Flywheel Impact” Accelerates
Edwards reiterated a prediction he made earlier this 12 months: that publicly traded firms holding Bitcoin on their stability sheets would spark a compounding “flywheel” of adoption. He believes this dynamic is now totally in movement, with extra firms becoming a member of the pattern and accumulating Bitcoin at a rising tempo.
This company shopping for habits, he says, is quickly changing into a extra influential power than the ETF story itself.
On-Chain Information Factors to Robust Accumulation
Taking a look at latest on-chain tendencies, Edwards highlighted a hanging uptick within the variety of wallets holding Bitcoin for greater than six months. Over the previous two months, this group has bought extra BTC than LTHs have bought over the past 18 months—an “unimaginable” shift in market construction, in response to him.
Traditionally, such large-scale accumulation is usually adopted by value squeezes, which Edwards views as a short-term bullish sign.
Market Weak spot May Be Quick-Lived
Regardless of this momentum, Edwards cautions that broader on-chain indicators nonetheless mirror some underlying fragility. Nevertheless, he believes that continued shopping for by newer long-term traders might resolve this weak point.
“If firms with Bitcoin treasuries preserve this aggressive tempo of accumulation, we’re possible solely within the early phases of the cycle,” he famous. “If that momentum holds, the market might regain energy rapidly.”