Bitcoin began February 2026 with a ten.1% drop, and now it’s sitting at round $78,700 — which is over $45,000 lower than the cycle excessive. But when CryptoRank’s value historical past knowledge is something to go by, February won’t be the catastrophe everyone seems to be getting ready for. Really, it’s the reverse: Bitcoin did nice in February.
It had probably the greatest common and median features of any month on file, with a rise of +13.4% and +11.6%, respectively. Solely April and October have higher numbers.
For the previous 12 years, BTC has had a February acquire 9 occasions out of 13. The outliers — 2020, 2014, 2012 — are uncommon and infrequently linked to massive occasions within the financial system. However even then, it isn’t uncommon to have a deep January pink adopted by a inexperienced February.
After a weak -0.28% in January, February nonetheless had a +5.64% print in 2018. In 2023, February barely moved at -0.01%, however then March went up by a whopping +23.1%.
Saylor and Technique present approach for Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s weekly candle exhibits a 9.18% drop proper now, however it’s the retest of the $73,000-$76,000 assist zone that would change the tempo. That is the place Michael Saylor’s Technique has its common buy value on a loopy 712,647 BTC stack — so it is just logical to set traps right here. And February’s seasonal stats again that up.
It’s attention-grabbing to notice that 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2021 all had double-digit rallies in February, even after robust situations in January. In 2021, February’s development spurted by a whopping 36%, following January’s modest 14.3% uptick. This mirrors the 2025 development, the place the yr kicked off with a 9.54% acquire.
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The breakdown on Feb. 1 may simply be the shakeout wanted to reframe a textbook bullish setup. If historical past repeats itself, we might see a shift again to $90,000-$98,000 earlier than March.
Though everyone seems to be panicking, February doesn’t play out the identical as January. It not often collapses twice in a row — and when it would not, the snapbacks are violent. Do not let the pink idiot you.