Crypto-native prediction markets reacted inside minutes after the Pentagon launched its first declassified UAP recordsdata on Friday, extra famously being labeled because the ‘Alien Information’. Polymarket’s flagship alien disclosure market has now reached a cumulative quantity of over $33 million.
The Division of Battle launched the Presidential Unsealing and Reporting System for UAP Encounters (PURSUE) on Friday. Officers posted Launch 01 to a public WAR.GOV/UFO portal, with rolling tranches promised each few weeks.
Polymarket Disclosure Bets Tops $33 Million
Merchants on Polymarket have wagered roughly $33 million on whether or not a senior U.S. official will verify extraterrestrial life by year-end. The crypto-native prediction platform sat at 19% on Could 8 after Launch 01 dropped.
A separate market on whether or not Trump declassifies new UFO recordsdata this yr costs December 31 at 83%. Bettors seem positioned for extra rolling tranches reasonably than a single dramatic occasion.
“This launch follows the route of President Donald J. Trump to start the method of figuring out and declassifying authorities recordsdata associated to UAP within the curiosity of whole transparency,” learn an excerpt within the Friday announcement.
A separate $16 million market asking whether or not the administration would declassify UFO recordsdata in 2025 resolved “Sure” earlier this yr.
No formal presidential declassification came about on the time. Late-session bids close to 99 cents and a contested UMA oracle vote pushed the result by.
Remark threads on the platform labeled the decision a rip-off. Critics dubbed the dispute mechanism “proof-of-whales,” reigniting questions on token-weighted oracles overriding dealer consensus.
What Rolling Releases Imply for the Markets
The Division of Battle welcomes private-sector evaluation of the unresolved circumstances. Every new tranche may transfer disclosure odds and revive the dispute round how oracles name ambiguous outcomes.
If headline catalysts hold arriving, the prediction-market lens could turn into the cleanest gauge of how critically markets worth disclosure narratives.
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