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30 Fear

50‑Week Moving Average Signals End of Bitcoin Bear Market

Original title: How the 50-Week Moving Average Signals Bitcoin's Bear Market Is Over

Unchained 11:20 1 views on YouTube BTC +0.3% NEXO +2.2%

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Summary

Bitcoin has been trading above its 50‑week moving average for about five to six weeks. Alex Thorn, head of firmwide research at Galaxy, says that in every previous bear market the same signal marked the bottom. He reviews 13F filings that show Millennium and D.E. Shaw reduced their Bitcoin ETF exposure, while Mubadala and Morgan Stanley Wealth Management increased theirs. Thorn argues that the current light positioning by macro funds creates a more favorable entry point for buyers. The discussion also compares the 50‑week and 200‑week averages and notes Bitcoin’s price stability around $80,000 while AI stocks fluctuated.

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Key points

  1. Bitcoin has traded above its 50‑week moving average for roughly five to six weeks.
  2. Alex Thorn says staying above the 50‑week moving average signaled the bottom in every past Bitcoin bear market.
  3. 13F data shows Millennium and D.E. Shaw cut Bitcoin ETF exposure, while Mubadala and Morgan Stanley Wealth Management added exposure.
  4. Thorn suggests the light macro‑fund positioning offers a better entry point for buyers now.

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