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71 Greed

US PCE Inflation Data Release Tests Crypto and Stock Markets

US PCE Inflation Data Release Tests Crypto and Stock Markets Image: CoinGape
Image via CoinGape.

The US August PCE inflation data is scheduled for release on September 30. Pre-market trading saw Coinbase (COIN) and Circle (CRCL) stock prices drop ahead of the report. COIN was testing $190 support, while CRCL hit a 10-day low amid CFO leadership changes. Bitcoin traded around $84,000 early Wednesday, with most major cryptocurrencies under pressure. Markets have already priced in expected inflation remaining above the Fed's 2% target.

Key points

  1. US August PCE inflation data is scheduled for release on September 30.
  2. COIN and CRCL stock prices declined in pre-market trading ahead of the PCE release.
  3. The PCE release is expected to drive volatility for risk assets including crypto stocks and digital assets.

Why it matters

The PCE release is a key Federal Reserve inflation gauge that will shape interest rate expectations, impacting risk assets including crypto stocks and digital assets. Higher expected inflation and rate hikes have already pushed 10-year Treasury yields to 19-year highs.

What's unclear

Expected core PCE year-over-year August rate: CoinGape estimates 3.2% (down from July 3.3%), BeInCrypto estimates 3.4% (up from July 3.3%)
October 2026 Fed rate hike probability: CoinGape reports 65% chance of 25bp hike, BeInCrypto notes bond markets price four additional hikes by June 2027 implying near-certain Octob

Price context · BTC

At publication
$83,391.00
Now
$83,770.00
Change since
+0.45%
7 days · dashed line = publication

Sources · 2 publishers

CoinGape Tier 2 First report
COIN and CRCL Stock Price Prediction Ahead of US PCE Inflation Data
BeInCrypto Tier 2
US PCE Inflation Is a Big Test for Stocks, Crypto, and Trump

Coverage timeline

  1. First reported by CoinGape
  2. Confirmed by BeInCrypto
  3. CryptoVideos brief published
How this brief was made. Our system found this event in 2 independent publications, summarised two complete reports with AI and checked every number above against the source text. Sources are linked in full. Not financial advice. Report an error

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